Research:2026-08-18/Journal article/mapping-pathways-to-an-inclusive-and-competitive-cannabis-industry-in-south-africa-through-systems-thinking-an

Research record18 August 2026Journal article

Mapping pathways to an inclusive and competitive cannabis industry in South Africa through systems thinking and systems dynamics modelling

Siphokazi Ngcinela, Sibongile S. Tekana

Journal of Environmental Management · 2026

Applies systems thinking and system dynamics modelling to South Africa's National Cannabis Master Plan. Using policy documents and comparative international experience, the authors find that implementation has been "fragmented and exclusionary", particularly for smallholder, rural and traditional cultivators, and identify centralised licensing, limited access to finance and weak institutional coordination as barriers. They test five policy scenarios over ten years: decentralised licensing, access to finance and cooperative support give higher smallholder participation than the status quo, and export facilitation gives larger gains in cultivated area than in participation.

DOI

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Record created 15 October 2026 · maintained by landrace.wiki editors · page history

Published18 Aug 2026

TypeJournal article

VenueJournal of Environmental Management

Year2026

DOI10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.130722

CountrySouth Africa

DOI

2026-08-18 2026-10-15 Mapping pathways to an inclusive and competitive cannabis industry in South Africa through systems thinking and systems dynamics modelling Journal article Policy and law Siphokazi Ngcinela, Sibongile S. Tekana Journal of Environmental Management 2026 10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.130722 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.130722 Applies systems thinking and system dynamics modelling to South Africa's National Cannabis Master Plan. Using policy documents and comparative international experience, the authors find that implementation has been "fragmented and exclusionary", particularly for smallholder, rural and traditional cultivators, and identify centralised licensing, limited access to finance and weak institutional coordination as barriers. They test five policy scenarios over ten years: decentralised licensing, access to finance and cooperative support give higher smallholder participation than the status quo, and export facilitation gives larger gains in cultivated area than in participation. South Africa